Serra Talhada vs Sport Recife analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.7%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.3%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.2%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
18.3%
74%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
16.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26%
0-2
16.8%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
22.9%
0-3
11.3%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
14.3%
0-4
5.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serra Talhada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
SAL
2 - 2
SER
56%
25%
20%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2015 |
SER
1 - 0
SAL
24%
28%
49%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
SPO
4 - 2
SER
79%
15%
6%
|
43 | 74 | 31 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2015 |
NAU
4 - 0
SER
71%
18%
11%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
SER
3 - 0
SAN
10%
21%
69%
|
42 | 64 | 22 | +2 |
Matches
Sport Recife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2015 |
SOC
0 - 3
SPO
7%
18%
75%
|
74 | 39 | 35 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
CEN
1 - 0
SPO
9%
19%
72%
|
74 | 47 | 27 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2015 |
SPO
1 - 0
CEN
79%
15%
6%
|
74 | 47 | 27 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
SPO
4 - 2
SER
79%
15%
6%
|
74 | 43 | 31 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2015 |
SPO
3 - 1
SOC
82%
14%
4%
|
74 | 39 | 35 | 0 |