Serra Talhada vs Sport Recife analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.5%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.1%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
73.6%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.9%
0-3
10.2%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.9%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serra Talhada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2012 |
BEL
2 - 0
SER
38%
25%
38%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
SER
1 - 2
SAL
34%
26%
41%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2012 |
PET
2 - 0
SER
37%
25%
39%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | -2 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
SER
2 - 4
SAN
44%
25%
31%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2012 |
SER
4 - 0
YPI
46%
24%
30%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Sport Recife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2012 |
SAL
2 - 0
SPO
16%
22%
63%
|
70 | 49 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
SPO
4 - 3
NAU
51%
24%
25%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2012 |
BEL
0 - 3
SPO
9%
16%
75%
|
70 | 35 | 35 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2012 |
SPO
2 - 1
PET
85%
11%
4%
|
70 | 39 | 31 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2012 |
SPO
0 - 0
AME
86%
10%
3%
|
70 | 35 | 35 | 0 |