Serra Talhada vs Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
31.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serra Talhada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2012 |
SER
4 - 0
YPI
46%
24%
30%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
AME
0 - 4
SER
37%
24%
39%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
SER
1 - 0
PER
69%
18%
13%
|
42 | 21 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
FEC
1 - 5
SER
17%
21%
63%
|
41 | 14 | 27 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
SER
0 - 0
OFC
60%
22%
19%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2012 |
SAL
2 - 0
SAN
47%
25%
28%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 1
BEL
65%
20%
15%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
SAN
0 - 2
TUP
43%
27%
30%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
TUP
1 - 0
SAN
54%
24%
22%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -2 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
CUI
1 - 2
SAN
50%
24%
26%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |