Serra Talhada vs Salgueiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
41.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serra Talhada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2014 |
CHA
1 - 2
SER
42%
25%
33%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
SER
2 - 0
ACA
49%
25%
27%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2014 |
YPI
0 - 1
SER
42%
25%
33%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
SER
1 - 1
CEN
29%
25%
46%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
PES
3 - 1
SER
52%
23%
25%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Salgueiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2014 |
SAL
1 - 0
PES
59%
22%
19%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
CHA
1 - 2
SAL
33%
26%
41%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2014 |
SAL
0 - 2
POR
62%
22%
16%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2014 |
CEN
1 - 0
SAL
40%
27%
33%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
SAL
2 - 0
ACA
66%
21%
13%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | +1 |