Serra Talhada vs Salgueiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
40.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serra Talhada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2012 |
PET
2 - 0
SER
37%
25%
39%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
SER
2 - 4
SAN
44%
25%
31%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2012 |
SER
4 - 0
YPI
46%
24%
30%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
AME
0 - 4
SER
37%
24%
39%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
SER
1 - 0
PER
69%
18%
13%
|
42 | 21 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Salgueiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2012 |
SAL
3 - 0
CEN
53%
24%
24%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
AME
0 - 3
SAL
29%
25%
46%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2012 |
SAL
2 - 0
SAN
47%
25%
28%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
PET
3 - 1
SAL
28%
25%
47%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | -2 |
| 25 Nov. 2011 |
GRÊ
2 - 1
SAL
76%
17%
8%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | 0 |