Serra Talhada vs Potiguar Mossoró analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
47.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serra Talhada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2016 |
ITA
3 - 1
SER
52%
25%
22%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
SER
0 - 1
UNI
41%
28%
31%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -2 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
SER
3 - 1
PES
47%
27%
26%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2016 |
ACA
0 - 0
SER
32%
27%
42%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
PER
2 - 0
SER
38%
27%
36%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Potiguar Mossoró
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2016 |
UNI
1 - 0
POT
39%
26%
36%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
POT
1 - 0
ITA
53%
25%
22%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2016 |
ABC
3 - 1
POT
58%
23%
19%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -2 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
POT
1 - 1
ALE
54%
24%
22%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
POT
1 - 1
ARN
19%
24%
57%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | 0 |