Serra Talhada vs Itabaiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
40.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serra Talhada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
POT
2 - 0
SER
66%
20%
13%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
SER
0 - 3
POT
26%
26%
48%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -3 |
| 18 Jun. 2016 |
ITA
3 - 1
SER
52%
25%
22%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -2 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
SER
0 - 1
UNI
41%
28%
31%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
SER
3 - 1
PES
47%
27%
26%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Itabaiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
ITA
2 - 2
UNI
47%
27%
26%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
UNI
1 - 1
ITA
52%
25%
23%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2016 |
ITA
3 - 1
SER
52%
25%
22%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
POT
1 - 0
ITA
53%
25%
22%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -2 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
ITA
1 - 1
SER
36%
28%
36%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |