Serra Talhada vs Flamengo Arcoverde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
44.7%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serra Talhada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2017 |
FEC
3 - 2
SER
45%
23%
32%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
PER
1 - 2
SER
45%
25%
30%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2017 |
SER
0 - 0
ACA
31%
26%
43%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
SER
0 - 0
AFO
40%
25%
35%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2017 |
AME
1 - 2
SER
48%
24%
28%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Flamengo Arcoverde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2017 |
FEC
3 - 2
SER
45%
23%
32%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
ACA
3 - 1
FEC
42%
24%
35%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2017 |
FEC
0 - 1
AME
55%
22%
23%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
FEC
1 - 0
PER
37%
23%
40%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2017 |
AFO
1 - 3
FEC
44%
23%
33%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | +1 |