Serra Talhada vs Colo Colo BA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
33.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serra Talhada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
SER
2 - 1
CEN
31%
28%
41%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
SAN
3 - 0
SER
71%
19%
10%
|
43 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
SER
0 - 2
NAU
21%
27%
53%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
SER
0 - 1
SPO
8%
18%
74%
|
44 | 74 | 30 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
SAL
2 - 2
SER
56%
25%
20%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Colo Colo BA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
COL
1 - 1
VIT
36%
28%
36%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
VIT
3 - 0
COL
53%
25%
22%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
VIT
0 - 2
COL
84%
12%
4%
|
46 | 74 | 28 | +2 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
COL
1 - 2
VIT
9%
20%
71%
|
46 | 73 | 27 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
COL
0 - 1
VIT
40%
27%
33%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |