Serra Talhada vs Chã Grande analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
25.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serra Talhada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 2013 |
ACA
1 - 1
SER
44%
25%
31%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
SER
1 - 1
YPI
43%
25%
32%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2013 |
CEN
2 - 2
SER
58%
23%
20%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2013 |
SER
1 - 2
PES
36%
25%
39%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
AME
2 - 2
SER
36%
24%
40%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Chã Grande
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 2013 |
SAL
2 - 0
CHA
65%
20%
15%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2013 |
CHA
2 - 1
POR
34%
25%
41%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
CHA
1 - 1
YPI
38%
25%
37%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2013 |
CEN
3 - 1
CHA
61%
22%
17%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
CHA
0 - 1
ACA
49%
23%
28%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |