Serra Talhada vs Central SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
39.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serra Talhada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2013 |
BEL
2 - 1
SER
46%
25%
29%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
SER
2 - 1
PET
52%
24%
24%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
SER
1 - 2
POR
44%
25%
32%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
NAU
1 - 2
SER
81%
13%
6%
|
38 | 65 | 27 | +2 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
SPO
5 - 0
SER
86%
10%
4%
|
38 | 69 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Central SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2013 |
CEN
1 - 0
PES
61%
22%
17%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
POR
0 - 4
CEN
44%
25%
31%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
CEN
1 - 2
NAU
16%
22%
62%
|
43 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
BEL
3 - 1
CEN
35%
26%
39%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | -2 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
CEN
2 - 2
AME
70%
19%
11%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | 0 |