Serra Talhada vs Central SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
36%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serra Talhada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
SAL
1 - 1
SER
68%
19%
13%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
SER
1 - 1
BEL
48%
25%
27%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
YPI
1 - 0
SER
46%
25%
30%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2012 |
SER
1 - 0
AME
64%
20%
16%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 0
SER
60%
22%
19%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Central SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
PET
1 - 1
CEN
43%
26%
31%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
CEN
1 - 2
SAN
40%
26%
34%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
ARA
1 - 1
CEN
40%
25%
35%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2012 |
CEN
0 - 0
YPI
50%
24%
26%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
POR
0 - 0
CEN
38%
26%
36%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |