Serra Macaense vs Serrano FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
31.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serra Macaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2020 |
SER
2 - 1
ANG
40%
25%
35%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
AFC
6 - 1
SER
52%
23%
25%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
SER
2 - 1
SAO
41%
24%
35%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
SER
0 - 1
GOY
37%
26%
37%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
SAM
4 - 3
SER
68%
19%
12%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Serrano FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
SFC
1 - 2
PER
20%
21%
59%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2021 |
PER
0 - 0
SFC
59%
22%
20%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2020 |
SFC
4 - 1
BON
24%
23%
54%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | +3 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
NOV
4 - 1
SFC
68%
19%
13%
|
32 | 48 | 16 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
SFC
0 - 1
ANG
34%
25%
42%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |