Serra Macaense vs São Gonçalo RJ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.7%
36.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serra Macaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
GOY
1 - 1
SER
28%
25%
46%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
SER
1 - 0
ANG
71%
19%
10%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
DUQ
0 - 1
SER
46%
26%
29%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
SER
1 - 4
SFC
41%
25%
34%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
ADC
2 - 1
SER
28%
23%
49%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
São Gonçalo RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
SAO
1 - 1
MAC
48%
24%
28%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
SAO
2 - 0
NCI
55%
22%
23%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
SAO
0 - 0
CIG
47%
23%
30%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
RIO
1 - 4
SAO
25%
21%
54%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
SAO
0 - 0
PER
30%
24%
47%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |