Serra Macaense vs São Gonçalo RJ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
32.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serra Macaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
CEC
1 - 2
SER
25%
25%
51%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
SER
0 - 0
PER
24%
22%
54%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2021 |
DUQ
1 - 2
SER
50%
25%
25%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
SER
1 - 3
RIO
61%
20%
19%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
CIG
0 - 4
SER
32%
23%
45%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
São Gonçalo RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
SAO
1 - 0
GOY
46%
26%
28%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
OLA
2 - 1
SAO
43%
26%
30%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2021 |
SAO
4 - 4
NCI
51%
23%
26%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
CGA
1 - 1
SAO
57%
22%
21%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
SAO
1 - 0
SFC
40%
24%
36%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |