Serra FC vs Porto Vitória analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.9%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
9.6%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+60%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serra FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
DES
0 - 2
SER
28%
24%
49%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
SER
2 - 0
ITA
70%
18%
12%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
VIT
2 - 2
SER
63%
20%
17%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
SER
2 - 1
RIO
29%
23%
48%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2023 |
NVE
2 - 1
SER
67%
18%
16%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Porto Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2023 |
POR
1 - 0
EST
19%
20%
61%
|
24 | 44 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
VFC
1 - 4
POR
70%
17%
13%
|
23 | 41 | 18 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
REA
3 - 1
POR
79%
14%
7%
|
23 | 57 | 34 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2023 |
POR
4 - 0
DES
13%
19%
69%
|
11 | 47 | 36 | +12 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
ITA
1 - 3
POR
77%
15%
8%
|
9 | 38 | 29 | +2 |