Serra FC vs Gremio Laranjeiras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.7%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
14%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.5%
7.8%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serra FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2023 |
RIO
1 - 2
SER
46%
24%
31%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
SER
1 - 2
RVV
43%
24%
34%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2023 |
REA
0 - 2
SER
52%
23%
26%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +2 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
SER
0 - 0
POR
64%
20%
16%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
REA
1 - 0
SER
48%
23%
29%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Gremio Laranjeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2023 |
SAO
1 - 4
GEL
69%
17%
14%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
GEL
1 - 2
RIO
8%
15%
77%
|
18 | 53 | 35 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
RVV
1 - 0
GEL
78%
15%
7%
|
18 | 50 | 32 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2023 |
GEL
1 - 0
REA
8%
16%
76%
|
17 | 54 | 37 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
VFC
4 - 0
GEL
74%
16%
11%
|
17 | 38 | 21 | 0 |