Serra FC vs Brasiliense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
37.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serra FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2019 |
ITU
4 - 0
SER
67%
21%
12%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2019 |
SER
0 - 0
URT
55%
23%
21%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2019 |
URT
0 - 0
SER
42%
26%
32%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
SER
1 - 5
ITU
26%
27%
47%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
BRA
1 - 0
SER
50%
26%
24%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Brasiliense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2019 |
BRA
1 - 1
URT
64%
22%
14%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
BRA
0 - 0
ITU
29%
28%
43%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
ITU
1 - 1
BRA
61%
24%
16%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2019 |
URT
0 - 1
BRA
32%
27%
41%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
BRA
1 - 0
SER
50%
26%
24%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |