Serra Branca vs Queimadense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.9%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.7%
75.4%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
10%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
9%
1-4
5.4%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
16%
0-4
6.1%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.7%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.9%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serra Branca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
SER
1 - 2
SOU
12%
18%
71%
|
10 | 46 | 36 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2023 |
SER
2 - 0
NAC
9%
14%
78%
|
8 | 37 | 29 | +2 |
| 29 Dec. 2022 |
AUT
0 - 1
SER
80%
13%
7%
|
6 | 33 | 27 | +2 |
| 21 Dec. 2022 |
SER
1 - 2
AUT
10%
16%
74%
|
7 | 33 | 26 | -1 |
Matches
Queimadense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2023 |
AUT
1 - 1
QUE
57%
21%
23%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
QUE
0 - 1
CAM
11%
17%
72%
|
26 | 51 | 25 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2014 |
CAM
2 - 1
QUE
78%
15%
8%
|
30 | 54 | 24 | -4 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 1
QUE
26%
23%
52%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2014 |
QUE
2 - 2
CSP
18%
21%
61%
|
29 | 47 | 18 | +2 |