Serra Branca vs Nacional de Patos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.1%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
65.5%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+132%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serra Branca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
ATL
0 - 1
SER
58%
22%
20%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
SER
1 - 1
CAM
13%
19%
68%
|
19 | 52 | 33 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
SER
3 - 2
POM
20%
20%
61%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
SOU
1 - 0
SER
77%
15%
8%
|
18 | 52 | 34 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2024 |
TRE
0 - 2
SER
69%
18%
13%
|
16 | 42 | 26 | +2 |
Matches
Nacional de Patos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2024 |
BOT
2 - 0
NAC
76%
16%
7%
|
47 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
NAC
1 - 2
ATL
73%
17%
10%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2024 |
SPC
0 - 1
NAC
19%
21%
60%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
NAC
2 - 1
TRE
65%
21%
15%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
NAC
1 - 0
SOU
32%
26%
43%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | +1 |