Serra Branca vs Nacional de Patos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.1%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.1%
74.8%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
15.7%
0-4
6%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.3%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.5%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.9%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+132%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serra Branca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2023 |
CSP
1 - 1
SER
73%
17%
10%
|
12 | 32 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2023 |
SER
1 - 1
BOT
9%
18%
74%
|
11 | 61 | 50 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
CAM
0 - 0
SER
83%
13%
4%
|
10 | 52 | 42 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2023 |
TRE
3 - 0
SER
76%
16%
9%
|
10 | 40 | 30 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
SER
1 - 1
QUE
10%
15%
75%
|
9 | 26 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Nacional de Patos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2023 |
CAM
1 - 1
NAC
67%
20%
13%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
NAC
0 - 1
SOU
33%
26%
41%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2023 |
NAC
2 - 1
AUT
64%
20%
16%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
SPC
1 - 0
NAC
31%
22%
47%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2023 |
NAC
2 - 0
TRE
42%
26%
32%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +2 |