Paraibano Semi-finals
Global 1-2
Serra Branca vs Botafogo PB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.8%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.4%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.9%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.3%
66.9%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
15.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.4%
0-2
14.4%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.8%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serra Branca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
BOT
0 - 0
SER
81%
13%
6%
|
26 | 65 | 39 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
SPC
0 - 3
SER
51%
23%
27%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | +2 |
| 05 Mar. 2024 |
CSP
0 - 2
SER
57%
22%
21%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
SER
0 - 1
BOT
11%
21%
68%
|
23 | 64 | 41 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
SER
1 - 1
NAC
15%
20%
66%
|
21 | 47 | 26 | +2 |
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
BOT
0 - 0
SER
81%
13%
6%
|
65 | 26 | 39 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
BOT
4 - 0
BAH
13%
22%
66%
|
63 | 86 | 23 | +2 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
ITA
0 - 1
BOT
24%
28%
48%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
TRE
0 - 0
BOT
24%
28%
48%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
ATL
3 - 0
BOT
12%
25%
63%
|
64 | 34 | 30 | -1 |