Serra Branca vs Botafogo PB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.2%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.4%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.5%
68.4%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
15.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.2%
0-2
14.7%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+132%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serra Branca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
SER
1 - 1
NAC
15%
20%
66%
|
21 | 47 | 26 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
ATL
0 - 1
SER
58%
22%
20%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
SER
1 - 1
CAM
13%
19%
68%
|
19 | 52 | 33 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
SER
3 - 2
POM
20%
20%
61%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
SOU
1 - 0
SER
77%
15%
8%
|
18 | 52 | 34 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
POM
2 - 3
BOT
14%
22%
65%
|
64 | 30 | 34 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2024 |
BOT
1 - 2
ALT
68%
20%
13%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2024 |
BOT
2 - 0
NAC
76%
16%
7%
|
65 | 47 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
ABC
0 - 0
BOT
54%
25%
21%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
BOT
1 - 0
SDJ
70%
19%
12%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | +1 |