Serra Branca vs Botafogo PB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.5%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.6%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.6%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.7%
73.8%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
15.3%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.5%
0-3
10.9%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
14.6%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+132%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serra Branca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
CAM
0 - 0
SER
83%
13%
4%
|
10 | 52 | 42 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2023 |
TRE
3 - 0
SER
76%
16%
9%
|
10 | 40 | 30 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
SER
1 - 1
QUE
10%
15%
75%
|
9 | 26 | 17 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
SER
1 - 2
SOU
12%
18%
71%
|
10 | 46 | 36 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2023 |
SER
2 - 0
NAC
9%
14%
78%
|
8 | 37 | 29 | +2 |
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2023 |
BOT
2 - 0
AUT
80%
15%
5%
|
61 | 30 | 31 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2023 |
QUE
1 - 1
BOT
11%
19%
71%
|
61 | 25 | 36 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
BOT
0 - 0
TRE
78%
16%
6%
|
61 | 39 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
BOT
2 - 2
CAM
65%
21%
14%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2023 |
SOU
1 - 1
BOT
17%
25%
58%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | 0 |