Serpentara Bellegra vs Francavilla Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.6%
1-0
6%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
55.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serpentara Bellegra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
POM
2 - 1
SER
60%
21%
19%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Francavilla Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
FRA
5 - 1
GAL
37%
24%
39%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
FRA
3 - 0
GAL
27%
24%
49%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | +2 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
SAR
1 - 1
FRA
53%
24%
23%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
FRA
2 - 0
ARZ
51%
23%
26%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +2 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
POM
0 - 0
FRA
34%
28%
38%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |