Serpa vs Real Sport Clube analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.8%
26.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+52%
-37%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
8º
14º
9º
14
10º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 53 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
14 | 14 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serpa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
LOU
3 - 1
SER
58%
22%
20%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
SER
2 - 1
GOU
53%
21%
26%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
SER
0 - 1
VST
30%
24%
46%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
PAD
1 - 2
SER
12%
15%
73%
|
34 | 12 | 22 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
FAB
3 - 0
SER
48%
22%
30%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Real Sport Clube
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
REA
0 - 2
MON
42%
24%
34%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
REA
3 - 2
OEL
13%
20%
67%
|
31 | 62 | 31 | +2 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
REA
1 - 2
OLM
10%
15%
75%
|
31 | 55 | 24 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
LOU
3 - 0
REA
67%
20%
13%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
REA
2 - 3
VST
21%
23%
55%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | -1 |