Serpa vs Ol. Moscavide analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.2%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.5%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.3%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.3%
79.5%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.9%
0-3
11%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.2%
0-4
7.4%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
10.7%
0-5
4%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.5%
0-6
1.8%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.4%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serpa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
SER
0 - 1
IMO
8%
16%
76%
|
24 | 51 | 27 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
UNI
2 - 1
SER
72%
16%
12%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
GUA
1 - 1
SER
25%
22%
53%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | +4 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
SER
1 - 1
ALM
72%
16%
12%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
PIE
2 - 2
SER
24%
22%
54%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Ol. Moscavide
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
EST
1 - 0
OLM
70%
19%
12%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
OLM
2 - 0
BMA
32%
25%
43%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | +2 |
| 20 May. 2007 |
FEI
1 - 0
OLM
65%
21%
14%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
OLM
1 - 2
LEX
24%
27%
49%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
SAN
2 - 1
OLM
62%
22%
15%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | -1 |