Serpa vs FC Castrense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
28.7%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serpa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2022 |
SER
2 - 2
FCB
59%
20%
21%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
UNI
1 - 5
SER
33%
23%
45%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | +2 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
SER
1 - 2
JUV
30%
23%
48%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
FCB
0 - 1
SER
42%
23%
35%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
SER
1 - 0
UNI
55%
21%
24%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
FC Castrense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
MOU
1 - 2
FCC
74%
16%
10%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
FCC
3 - 5
OPE
28%
23%
49%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
LOU
4 - 1
FCC
74%
16%
10%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
FCC
1 - 1
ALM
46%
23%
31%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
OLI
3 - 1
FCC
62%
20%
19%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -2 |