Serpa vs FC Barreirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
11.3%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-60%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serpa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
SER
2 - 0
MOU
78%
15%
7%
|
47 | 26 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
AMO
2 - 1
SER
49%
24%
27%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
LAG
0 - 0
SER
25%
25%
50%
|
48 | 30 | 18 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
SER
3 - 2
EST
70%
18%
12%
|
47 | 20 | 27 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
SIN
1 - 0
SER
44%
25%
32%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
FC Barreirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
FCB
4 - 4
CIN
52%
22%
26%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
MOU
1 - 1
FCB
29%
24%
47%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
MON
3 - 2
FCB
69%
20%
12%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
FCB
1 - 4
AMO
21%
25%
54%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
FCB
3 - 1
EVN
56%
21%
23%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |