Sergipe vs Vitória analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
59.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
CON
1 - 0
SER
67%
21%
13%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2023 |
SER
1 - 0
AFP
76%
16%
8%
|
49 | 26 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
SER
4 - 0
ALA
39%
25%
37%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +2 |
| 31 Jan. 2023 |
SER
2 - 0
AME
74%
16%
10%
|
47 | 28 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2023 |
FOR
1 - 0
SER
82%
14%
4%
|
47 | 85 | 38 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
VIT
1 - 1
JAC
64%
22%
14%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
ALA
1 - 2
VIT
14%
22%
64%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
CSA
3 - 1
VIT
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2023 |
VIT
2 - 0
JEC
77%
15%
8%
|
64 | 37 | 27 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
BAH
1 - 0
VIT
71%
18%
11%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |