Sergipe vs Vitória analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.4%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.3%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
70.1%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.6%
0-4
5%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2014 |
ARN
3 - 0
SER
80%
14%
6%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
SER
2 - 1
CON
57%
22%
21%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2013 |
TIR
0 - 0
SER
65%
22%
14%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
SER
2 - 2
TIR
39%
26%
36%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
VIT
0 - 1
SER
53%
25%
22%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2014 |
CON
1 - 3
VIT
7%
17%
76%
|
78 | 44 | 34 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
VIT
0 - 3
ARN
78%
15%
7%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
ATM
2 - 2
VIT
66%
19%
15%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
VIT
4 - 2
FLA
47%
25%
28%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
CRI
1 - 1
VIT
33%
26%
41%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |