Série D Brazil Last 16
Global 2-2
Sergipe vs Tiradentes CE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
35.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
VIT
0 - 1
SER
53%
25%
22%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
SER
2 - 3
BOT
41%
27%
32%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
SDJ
2 - 0
SER
45%
27%
28%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
SER
2 - 0
CSA
60%
23%
18%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2013 |
CSA
0 - 2
SER
62%
21%
16%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Tiradentes CE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
CEN
2 - 0
TIR
25%
27%
48%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
TIR
2 - 0
GUA
55%
24%
21%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
YPI
0 - 1
TIR
29%
26%
45%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
TIR
3 - 0
POT
71%
18%
11%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
POT
0 - 3
TIR
25%
26%
49%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |