Sergipe vs Socorrense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.2%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.3%
8.5%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-95%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
AFP
0 - 3
SER
23%
21%
56%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
SER
2 - 0
JEC
45%
25%
31%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | +2 |
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
ARN
3 - 2
SER
73%
17%
10%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
SER
2 - 1
MUR
45%
25%
30%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | +2 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
MUR
3 - 0
SER
49%
25%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -3 |
Matches
Socorrense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
SOC
0 - 1
LAG
44%
25%
31%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
GUA
2 - 1
SOC
47%
26%
28%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
SOC
0 - 3
LAG
46%
24%
30%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | -2 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
SOC
3 - 0
AMA
36%
24%
40%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | +2 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
AMA
4 - 0
SOC
47%
24%
29%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -2 |