Sergipe vs SD Juazeirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
38.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
BOT
1 - 1
SER
72%
18%
10%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
SER
2 - 0
VIT
38%
26%
36%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +2 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
SER
3 - 2
RIP
50%
24%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
RIP
0 - 0
SER
46%
26%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2013 |
SER
1 - 0
EST
58%
22%
20%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
SD Juazeirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2013 |
SDJ
1 - 1
BOT
45%
27%
28%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
SDJ
2 - 0
VIT
13%
19%
68%
|
50 | 74 | 24 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2013 |
VIT
4 - 0
SDJ
86%
10%
4%
|
50 | 73 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
SDJ
1 - 0
JUA
48%
24%
28%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2013 |
BOT
0 - 3
SDJ
29%
25%
46%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | +1 |