Sergipano Etapas Finales Final
Global 3-2
Sergipe vs Lagarto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
21.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2021 |
CON
0 - 1
SER
73%
18%
9%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2021 |
SER
0 - 0
CON
17%
22%
61%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
SER
1 - 1
CON
16%
22%
62%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2021 |
BOC
0 - 1
SER
24%
24%
51%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
SER
1 - 1
DOR
59%
22%
19%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Lagarto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2021 |
ITA
0 - 2
LAG
47%
26%
28%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2021 |
LAG
2 - 0
ITA
34%
27%
39%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | +2 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
ITA
1 - 1
LAG
53%
25%
22%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2021 |
LAG
0 - 1
ATG
55%
22%
24%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
AFP
0 - 1
LAG
29%
24%
47%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | +1 |