Sergipe vs Lagarto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
16.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 1
SER
20%
20%
60%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2020 |
SER
0 - 0
CON
17%
22%
61%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2020 |
AFP
0 - 1
SER
30%
24%
47%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2020 |
ITA
1 - 4
SER
38%
27%
35%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2020 |
SER
2 - 1
ITA
44%
26%
30%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Lagarto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
LAG
3 - 0
AMP
69%
19%
13%
|
35 | 11 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2020 |
VIT
3 - 1
LAG
87%
11%
3%
|
35 | 66 | 31 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
ITA
1 - 0
LAG
55%
25%
20%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
LAG
1 - 1
AFP
27%
23%
50%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2020 |
LAG
1 - 0
VOL
8%
17%
75%
|
34 | 58 | 24 | +2 |