Sergipe vs Lagarto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
24.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
CSA
2 - 0
SER
82%
14%
4%
|
39 | 66 | 27 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2019 |
ITA
1 - 1
SER
44%
28%
29%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
DOR
1 - 0
SER
30%
25%
44%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -2 |
| 13 Mar. 2019 |
BAH
0 - 1
SER
86%
12%
3%
|
39 | 77 | 38 | +2 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
SER
0 - 0
OSE
74%
17%
9%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Lagarto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2019 |
LAG
0 - 0
CON
15%
22%
63%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
LAG
1 - 0
ITA
35%
29%
36%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
LAG
3 - 0
BOC
53%
24%
22%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2019 |
CON
1 - 4
LAG
79%
15%
6%
|
33 | 53 | 20 | +2 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
GUA
2 - 2
LAG
37%
26%
37%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |