Sergipe vs Lagarto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.3%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.8%
8.8%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
SER
0 - 1
ITA
53%
24%
23%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
CON
1 - 1
SER
64%
21%
15%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
BOC
0 - 3
SER
28%
26%
46%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2018 |
SER
1 - 1
OSE
80%
14%
7%
|
44 | 22 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
DOR
0 - 1
SER
25%
24%
51%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Lagarto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
LAG
2 - 1
OSE
54%
24%
22%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
BOC
0 - 2
LAG
53%
24%
24%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +2 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
LAG
0 - 2
ITA
23%
27%
51%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | -3 |
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
CON
0 - 0
LAG
79%
15%
6%
|
29 | 54 | 25 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
LAG
2 - 0
AMA
49%
22%
29%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | +1 |