Sergipe vs Lagarto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.5%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
11%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.2%
8.3%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
SER
1 - 0
CON
24%
23%
53%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
OSE
0 - 0
SER
16%
21%
62%
|
42 | 18 | 24 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
SER
4 - 1
AMA
77%
13%
9%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
ITA
1 - 0
SER
46%
27%
27%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2018 |
SER
3 - 0
BOC
67%
20%
13%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Lagarto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
AFP
1 - 0
LAG
43%
23%
34%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2018 |
LAG
2 - 2
DOR
27%
22%
51%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
BOC
0 - 1
LAG
56%
22%
22%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
LAG
0 - 0
CON
12%
20%
69%
|
27 | 55 | 28 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2018 |
OSE
2 - 2
LAG
23%
23%
54%
|
28 | 15 | 13 | -1 |