Sergipe vs Itabaiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
29.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2020 |
CON
2 - 2
SER
76%
17%
8%
|
39 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2020 |
SER
1 - 1
AFP
41%
24%
36%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
AFP
1 - 2
SER
39%
25%
37%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
SER
1 - 0
ITA
36%
27%
38%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
LAG
1 - 3
SER
39%
27%
34%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Itabaiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2020 |
AFP
2 - 1
ITA
34%
25%
41%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2020 |
ITA
0 - 1
CON
14%
21%
65%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
ITA
1 - 0
LAG
55%
25%
20%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
SER
1 - 0
ITA
36%
27%
38%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2020 |
AFP
2 - 1
ITA
28%
25%
48%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | -1 |