Sergipe vs Itabaiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
23.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
CON
1 - 1
SER
64%
21%
15%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
BOC
0 - 3
SER
28%
26%
46%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2018 |
SER
1 - 1
OSE
80%
14%
7%
|
44 | 22 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
DOR
0 - 1
SER
25%
24%
51%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
SER
1 - 0
LAG
76%
16%
8%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Itabaiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
ITA
0 - 0
OSE
70%
21%
10%
|
45 | 23 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
LAG
0 - 2
ITA
23%
27%
51%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
ITA
1 - 0
BOC
60%
24%
16%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
CON
1 - 0
ITA
66%
21%
13%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2018 |
ITA
0 - 0
OSE
72%
20%
9%
|
45 | 21 | 24 | 0 |