Sergipano Final
Global 2-1
Sergipe vs Itabaiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
18.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
SER
0 - 0
BOC
75%
16%
9%
|
47 | 31 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2016 |
CON
0 - 0
SER
53%
25%
22%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
SER
1 - 2
EST
74%
17%
9%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
DOR
2 - 3
SER
24%
24%
52%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
SER
1 - 1
ITA
64%
22%
15%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Itabaiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
ITA
0 - 0
DOR
55%
24%
21%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2016 |
BOC
1 - 2
ITA
27%
28%
45%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
ITA
3 - 2
CON
23%
26%
51%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
EST
0 - 2
ITA
32%
29%
40%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
SER
1 - 1
ITA
64%
22%
15%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |