Sergipe vs Itabaiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.5%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
15%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
ITA
1 - 1
SER
33%
28%
39%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2016 |
SER
4 - 3
DOR
69%
18%
13%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
EST
1 - 2
SER
27%
27%
46%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
SER
2 - 1
CON
32%
26%
42%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
BOC
0 - 0
SER
18%
22%
60%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Itabaiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
ITA
1 - 1
SER
33%
28%
39%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2016 |
ITA
1 - 0
EST
51%
26%
23%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
CON
0 - 2
ITA
72%
19%
9%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | +2 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
ITA
4 - 2
BOC
55%
23%
22%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
DOR
0 - 0
ITA
40%
26%
34%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |