Sergipe vs Itabaiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.2%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.2%
10.6%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+74%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
EST
1 - 1
SER
28%
25%
47%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
SER
1 - 1
CON
53%
23%
24%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2015 |
SER
2 - 1
AMA
78%
14%
7%
|
48 | 28 | 20 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
ITA
0 - 1
SER
24%
27%
49%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
SER
1 - 2
SOC
74%
17%
9%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Itabaiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
ITA
2 - 1
BOC
55%
23%
22%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
COR
1 - 3
ITA
24%
24%
51%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
ITA
2 - 2
LAG
48%
25%
27%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2015 |
SOC
0 - 0
ITA
49%
24%
27%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
ITA
0 - 1
SER
24%
27%
49%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | -1 |