Sergipe vs Falcon FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.8%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
10.7%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2023 |
SPO
2 - 1
SER
83%
13%
5%
|
53 | 76 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
SER
3 - 1
FPI
49%
22%
29%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2023 |
SER
1 - 1
BOT
10%
20%
70%
|
51 | 81 | 30 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
SER
2 - 1
ITA
50%
25%
25%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2023 |
ATG
0 - 0
SER
14%
21%
65%
|
51 | 30 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Falcon FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2023 |
FFC
4 - 1
EST
60%
20%
20%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2023 |
FFC
1 - 3
VOL
8%
15%
77%
|
37 | 62 | 25 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2023 |
FFC
0 - 0
AME
52%
22%
26%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
ITA
1 - 0
FFC
61%
22%
18%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
ATG
0 - 1
FFC
31%
23%
46%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |