Sergipano Final
Global 3-2
Sergipe vs Falcon FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.7%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
15.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2022 |
FFC
1 - 2
SER
26%
24%
50%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
ITA
1 - 0
SER
41%
27%
32%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2022 |
SER
2 - 0
ITA
47%
25%
28%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
LAG
0 - 2
SER
36%
28%
36%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +2 |
| 23 Mar. 2022 |
SER
9 - 0
MAR
73%
16%
11%
|
43 | 20 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Falcon FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2022 |
FFC
1 - 2
SER
26%
24%
50%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
FFC
1 - 1
CON
10%
18%
72%
|
35 | 61 | 26 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2022 |
CON
1 - 1
FFC
81%
12%
6%
|
35 | 61 | 26 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
FFC
6 - 0
AFP
47%
23%
30%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
AME
0 - 1
FFC
37%
23%
41%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | +1 |