Sergipe vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.7%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.3%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.3%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
8%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
0
19.1%
73.2%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
17.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.7%
0-2
17.1%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
22.8%
0-3
11.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
13.8%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.4%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2022 |
SER
2 - 1
BOC
71%
19%
10%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
CON
1 - 1
SER
79%
15%
6%
|
42 | 61 | 19 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2022 |
FFC
1 - 0
SER
19%
22%
59%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | -2 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
NAU
3 - 0
SER
87%
10%
4%
|
44 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2022 |
BOT
3 - 0
SER
72%
18%
9%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2022 |
BAH
3 - 0
VIT
89%
9%
2%
|
78 | 38 | 40 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
BAH
4 - 1
JAC
82%
13%
5%
|
78 | 54 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
BAH
2 - 3
SPO
66%
21%
13%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2022 |
ALA
2 - 1
BAH
9%
20%
72%
|
79 | 46 | 33 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
SDJ
1 - 0
BAH
9%
20%
71%
|
79 | 50 | 29 | 0 |