Sergipe vs Dorense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
20.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
FLU
0 - 0
SER
53%
25%
22%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
SER
0 - 1
CAM
30%
26%
44%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | -2 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
MUR
2 - 1
SER
45%
26%
29%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
SER
3 - 3
MUR
54%
23%
23%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2016 |
CAM
1 - 1
SER
64%
22%
15%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Dorense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
ITA
0 - 0
DOR
55%
24%
21%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2016 |
DOR
5 - 3
EST
45%
23%
32%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
BOC
1 - 3
DOR
42%
23%
35%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +2 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
DOR
2 - 3
SER
24%
24%
52%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2016 |
CON
3 - 1
DOR
71%
18%
11%
|
35 | 52 | 17 | -1 |