Sergipe vs Confiança analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
55.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
SER
1 - 3
MOT
27%
26%
47%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2019 |
SER
0 - 0
LAG
51%
25%
24%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
CSA
2 - 0
SER
82%
14%
4%
|
39 | 66 | 27 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2019 |
ITA
1 - 1
SER
44%
28%
29%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
DOR
1 - 0
SER
30%
25%
44%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Confiança
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
SAN
2 - 0
CON
57%
23%
20%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2019 |
CON
3 - 2
DOR
72%
17%
12%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
CON
0 - 2
CRB
25%
25%
50%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2019 |
LAG
0 - 0
CON
15%
22%
63%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
CON
2 - 2
AFP
78%
14%
8%
|
52 | 30 | 22 | 0 |