Sergipe vs CSE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
23.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
LAG
2 - 1
SER
43%
28%
29%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
SER
2 - 1
ALA
26%
25%
49%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
SAN
1 - 0
SER
67%
20%
13%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
SER
1 - 1
SAN
36%
28%
36%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
ALA
0 - 0
SER
57%
25%
18%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
CSE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
CSE
0 - 1
ASA
45%
26%
30%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
CSE
0 - 0
SAN
32%
28%
40%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
ALA
2 - 1
CSE
60%
24%
17%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
CSE
2 - 1
ALA
23%
24%
53%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
SAN
2 - 1
CSE
68%
19%
13%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |